A recent report in the NYTimes (see below for an excerpt) suggests that the American people, or at least their most popular pundits, are not buying it when told that the recovery is gaining strength. Even the White House is not using the rosiest of tinted glasses. Perhaps the burgeoning Tea Party movement is onto something that we Republicans have known for some time, which is that “the future ain’t what it used to be” (Yogi Berra).

Fasten your seatbelts ...
Maybe we conservatives are on to something when we stand on the edge of this fiscal abyss and ask if we really can restart the economy using the old growth-based schemes that assumed unlimited capacity to consume on borrowed money with no morning after fiscal hangover? Are the people more self-aware of the limits to the old models than the politicians who represent them? At a recent townhall meeting in Northfield, Dahle and Bly were asked if their projections for future growth were adjusted by their staffs to account for the changing demographics of our society (the age pyramid is now a silo, and last decades economic models are no longer valid). Their answer was less than assuring, and it sounded to us like it was a sort of “yeah, the analysts know what they are doing” so similar to the attitudes that set us up for this mess by not looking closely at the assumptions made about the housing bubble (that past performance WAS an indicator of future results). Like the sign says, “Please, fasten your seatbelts …“
Excerpt from NY Times.
Why So Glum? Numbers Point to a Recovery
By FLOYD NORRIS
Published: April 8, 2010
The American economy appears to be in a cyclical recovery that is gaining strength. Firms have begun to hire and consumer spending seems to be accelerating.
That is what usually happens after particularly sharp recessions, so it is surprising that many commentators, whether economists or politicians, seem to doubt that such a thing could possibly be happening.
…
Why is good news being received with such doubt? Why is “new normal” the currently popular economic phrase, signifying that growth will be subpar for an extended period, and that the old normal is no longer something to be expected? [emphasis added]